Monday, March 7, 2011

GBB's 2011 Giants Hitting Projections

The Giants are off to a fine start to Cactus League 2011, especially after Tim Lincecum's dominant outing Sunday afternoon (3 1/3 IP, 0 R, 7K's). So with everything flowing on field, here is GBB's version of the 2011 Giants hitting projections:

Projected Lineup:

CF Andres Torres:
.276 avg., 14 HR, 64 RBI, 80 Runs, 25 SB, .753 OPS
2B Freddy Sanchez: .301 avg., 8 HR, 55 RBI, 72 R, 33 2B, .731 OPS
1B Aubrey Huff: .282 avg., 21 HR, 85 RBI, 76 R, 29 2B, .845 OPS
C Buster Posey: .312 avg., 23 HR, 101 RBI, 89 R, 36 2B, .946 OPS
LF Pat Burrell: .252 avg., 19 HR, 68 RBI, 53 R, 21 2B, .812 OPS
SS Miguel Tejada: .275 avg., 15 HR, 72 RBI, 68 R, 30 2B, .789 OPS
3B Pablo Sandoval: .279 avg., 21 HR, 81 RBI, 65 R, 32 2B, .805 OPS
RF Cody Ross: .272 avg., 22 HR, 82 RBI, 61 R, 34 2B, .824 OPS

Projected Bench:

IF/OF Mark DeRosa: 124 G, .284 avg., 13 HR, 62 RBI, 51 R, .761 OPS
OF Aaron Rowand: 98 G, .267 avg., 9 HR, 39 RBI, 32 R, .709 OPS
IF Mike Fontenot: 101 G, .270 avg., 6 HR, 22 RBI, 27 R, .682 OPS
OF Nate Schierholtz: 89 G, .273 avg., 5 HR, 26 RBI, 32 R, .737 OPS
C Eli Whiteside: 62 G, .222 avg., 4 HR, 16 RBI, 23 R, .692 OPS
OF/IF Brandon Belt*: 91 G, .288 avg., 10 HR, 48 RBI, 41 R, .789 OPS

* indicates in-season call-up

Again, like with the pitching projections, these are just starting points, and will likely be changed at least once before opening day, but based on what we saw in the playoffs last year, as well as regular season tendencies, here is what I came up with for the Giants offensive projection for 2011. Also, there's a chance that these may not even be the hitters that start out the year for the Giants. Freddy Sanchez is still easing his way back from off-season shoulder surgery and we still don't know exactly who will be on first and who will be out in left field. Out of these guys, nobody really jumps out at you (besides Posey), but if the lineup can perform up to those standards, this team will have no trouble winning the West. I think the key to making that happen will be to get Pablo Sandoval going early on, and allowing Boch to establish a set lineup. I think Sandoval is the guy that holds all the power. If he's right, he'll probably hit fifth, but if he's not, Giants fans will get to know Mark DeRosa.

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